Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

914 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Gemini Secures CFTC Approval

Gemini Secures CFTC Approval

The post Gemini Secures CFTC Approval appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The CFTC’s approval gives Gemini the legal green light to operate a regulated futures marketplace under U.S. law. The platform, called Gemini Titan, will start with classic binary event contracts built around straightforward yes-or-no outcomes. Think election results, market events, and economic indicators. Over time, the license allows Gemini to widen its scope into full-fledged derivatives offerings: crypto futures, options, and perps. That puts Gemini in the same regulatory class as long-standing futures exchanges, but with a modern twist aimed at blockchain-native markets. A Long Application Finally Pays Off This wasn’t an overnight win. Gemini first filed for a DCM license back in March 2020, years before prediction markets became a mainstream talking point. At that time, the purpose wasn’t explicit, and few could have predicted how quickly the sector would heat up. Now, after a long and complex regulatory journey, the timing could not be better. Prediction platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have been posting record volumes, driven by last year’s election cycle and the surge of political speculation following President Donald Trump’s return to office. October and November were the biggest months in their history, and this momentum is still accelerating. Why the CFTC’s Stance Has Shifted For years, the CFTC treated prediction markets with caution. Polymarket was punished for operating unregistered markets, and Kalshi faced resistance when attempting to list political contracts. That changed once Kalshi won a legal battle that forced regulators to reconsider their position. Under Acting Chair Caroline Pham, the agency has moved toward a more business-friendly, innovation-focused approach. Cameron Winklevoss made this point clearly, praising Pham for embracing a vision where prediction markets can grow to the size of traditional financial markets. The shift isn’t just philosophical. Trump’s administration has shown enthusiastic support for prediction markets, even planning a Truth Social-branded marketplace in…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Markets

Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Markets

The post Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini gains CFTC approval, allowing regulated prediction markets to launch for U.S. users. New Gemini Titan platform lets customers trade event contracts using existing USD balances. Prediction-market industry surges with rising volumes from Polymarket, Kalshi, and new entrants. Gemini has received an important approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, allowing it to operate as a Designated Contract Market and launch its Gemini Titan prediction platform in the United States.  With this licence, the exchange can now offer binary event contracts on Gemini Titan, marking its entry into the fast growing prediction markets sector under a regulated futures style framework. U.S. Users Will Soon Trade Event Contracts Gemini said that U.S. customers will soon be able to trade event contracts directly through the platform’s web interface using the USD already in their Gemini accounts. Support on the Gemini mobile app will follow. These markets let users predict real-world outcomes, such as elections, economic data, sports results, and major global events,  by buying contracts tied to “yes” or “no” outcomes. Related: Abu Dhabi RWA Tokenization Grows with Mubadala Pilot And Galaxy Digital’s ADGM Launch Gemini Approval Seen As A Turning Point For Prediction Markets Tyler Winklevoss said Gemini’s approval shows that U.S. regulators are now willing to treat prediction markets as a legitimate and scalable financial sector. “The move into this nascent and burgeoning frontier continues Gemini’s march towards building a one-stop financial super app for customers. Onward,” he said. Today’s approval marks the culmination of a 5-year licensing process and the beginning of a new chapter for @Gemini. We thank @POTUS for ending the Biden Administration’s War on Crypto and Acting Chairman @CarolineDPham for her hard work and dedication to help realize President… https://t.co/aBcsjUVGVh — Tyler Winklevoss (@tyler) December 10, 2025 A DCM licence places Gemini Titan in the…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Approved by CFTC to Offer U.S. Prediction Markets, Stock Surges Nearly 14%

Gemini Approved by CFTC to Offer U.S. Prediction Markets, Stock Surges Nearly 14%

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Author: Coindesk
Gemini Receives CFTC Nod for Prediction Market, Plans Move Into Futures and Perps

Gemini Receives CFTC Nod for Prediction Market, Plans Move Into Futures and Perps

The post Gemini Receives CFTC Nod for Prediction Market, Plans Move Into Futures and Perps appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini has gained CFTC approval that opens the exchange up to compete directly in the prediction market. This comes amid rising interest in the booming market as crypto platforms look to tap into its growth. Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Offer Prediction Markets In a release, it was learnt that the crypto exchange has received formal authorization from the CFTC to operate a designated contract market via its affiliate Gemini Titan. BREAKING pic.twitter.com/s4q7QJFu5v — Gemini (@Gemini) December 10, 2025 The approval ends a five-year-long licensing process that started in 2020 and grants the company the capability to offer regulated prediction markets in the United States. Tyler Winklevoss attributed this to the support of a pro-innovation environment by the Trump administration and CFTC Acting Chair Caroline Pham. “Prediction markets have the potential to be as big or bigger than traditional capital markets. Acting Chairman Pham understands this vision and its importance,” he said. “Unlike her predecessor, Acting Chairman Pham has positioned the CFTC as a pro business, pro innovation regulator…” Gemini Titan has received approval to offer simple event-based contracts. These include binary “yes or no” bets on real-world events, such as political outcomes and economic data releases. In the coming weeks, U.S. users will be able to access prediction markets directly on its website, with mobile trading available later. This is just the first step in a bigger plan to expand their derivatives offerings. For instance, they are also exploring interest in additional products that U.S. traders have not been able to use before. This includes crypto futures, options, and perpetual swaps. Along with the derivatives announcement, the exchange also announced support for Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. The integration seeks to make cross-network transfers easier. GEMI Stock Surges Despite Tough First Few Months News of the CFTC…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Earns CFTC Approval for Prediction Market Platform Amid CRO-Enabled Sector Growth

Gemini Earns CFTC Approval for Prediction Market Platform Amid CRO-Enabled Sector Growth

The post Gemini Earns CFTC Approval for Prediction Market Platform Amid CRO-Enabled Sector Growth appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini Space Station, Inc. has secured CFTC approval to operate as a Designated Contract Market, enabling the launch of its Gemini Titan prediction market platform. This approval allows binary event contracts initially, with expansions into crypto futures, options, and perpetuals, boosting U.S. regulatory compliance in crypto derivatives trading. Gemini Titan to offer binary event contracts under strict CFTC oversight, ensuring secure trading for users. The platform’s approval follows Gemini’s 2020 application, marking a key step in regulated prediction markets. U.S. prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket hit record volumes during the 2024 election, with continued growth expected amid regulatory shifts. Gemini CFTC approval unlocks Gemini Titan prediction market for binary contracts and crypto derivatives. Explore regulated trading opportunities in this evolving sector today. (142 characters) What is Gemini’s CFTC Approval for the Gemini Titan Prediction Market? Gemini CFTC approval grants Gemini Space Station, Inc. the status of a Designated Contract Market, paving the way for the Gemini Titan prediction market platform. This regulatory green light, secured after an application filed on March 10, 2020, allows the exchange to offer compliant trading in event-based derivatives. Initially focusing on binary event contracts, the platform plans to broaden into other CFTC-regulated products like crypto futures and options, enhancing investor access to secure markets. How Are U.S. Prediction Markets Evolving Amid Regulatory Changes? The U.S. prediction market landscape is accelerating, driven by recent regulatory advancements. Platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket achieved unprecedented trading volumes in October and November 2024, fueled by election-related activity, and projections suggest sustained momentum into 2025, as reported by The Block. Historically, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission maintained a conservative stance, restricting Polymarket operations and limiting Kalshi to select event contracts. However, Kalshi’s successful legal challenge against the CFTC on political betting opened avenues for expansion, including into sports…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Clears Key CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Market Platform in US

Gemini Clears Key CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Market Platform in US

Billionaire Winklevoss twins’ Gemini Space Station received a key nod from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to launch its betting platform

Author: CryptoNews
Gemini wins CFTC approval for prediction markets

Gemini wins CFTC approval for prediction markets

The post Gemini wins CFTC approval for prediction markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini has received approval for prediction markets in the U.S., with GEMI stock jumping after the news. Summary Gemini Titan receives a CFTC license to run regulated prediction markets. U.S. customers will soon trade event-based contracts directly on Gemini. GEMI shares jump in after-hours trading after the announcement. Gemini has secured approval for a Designated Contract Market license, clearing the way for the exchange to bring regulated prediction markets to U.S. users for the first time. The exchange announced on Dec. 10 that its affiliate, Gemini Titan LLC, received a DCM license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission after a five-year review. The approval allows the company to offer event-based contracts to U.S. customers via its web platform, with mobile support to follow. Gemini will compete in a growing prediction-market industry The license lets users trade simple yes-or-no markets tied to future outcomes, such as whether a price level will be reached or whether a corporate or political event will occur. Gemini chief executive officer Tyler Winklevoss called the decision the end of a long application process, framing it as a shift toward a more supportive regulatory stance in Washington. President Cameron Winklevoss added that the CFTC’s current leadership has opened the door for U.S. firms to compete in rapidly growing prediction markets overseas. With the license in place, Gemini enters a space currently led by Kalshi, which also runs CFTC-regulated prediction markets. The approval gives Gemini access to a sector that analysts estimate has crossed $3.5 billion in annualized activity, driven by trading tied to elections, economic data, sports outcomes, and digital-asset milestones. Future expansion plan and Gemini stock performance The company plans to expand beyond event contracts after launch. Gemini Titan is researching regulated cryptocurrency derivatives products for US clients, including futures, options, and perpetual swaps. Although they…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets

A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets

The post A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets Skip to content Home Crypto News Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets Source: https://bitcoinworld.co.in/gemini-cftc-license-prediction-markets/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets

Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets

BitcoinWorld Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets In a landmark move for cryptocurrency regulation, the Gemini exchange has achieved a significant victory. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has granted Gemini a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license. This pivotal approval, reported by The Block, unlocks a new frontier for the exchange, allowing it to formally launch its own prediction market and […] This post Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Connecticut Enforcement Against Kalshi Prediction Market

Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Connecticut Enforcement Against Kalshi Prediction Market

The post Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Connecticut Enforcement Against Kalshi Prediction Market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A federal judge in Connecticut has issued a temporary order blocking the state from enforcing gambling laws against prediction market platform Kalshi, providing relief while the court considers a preliminary injunction request. This stems from cease-and-desist letters sent to Kalshi and others for alleged unlicensed sports gambling operations. Kalshi operates as a CFTC-designated contract market, claiming federal jurisdiction preempts state regulations. The temporary block prevents enforcement actions based on the state’s cease-and-desist letter until oral arguments in February 2026. Similar legal battles in other states like Nevada highlight the ongoing nationwide regulatory challenges for prediction markets, with Kalshi facing mixed outcomes. Kalshi Connecticut court order blocks state gambling enforcement temporarily. Learn how this impacts prediction markets and CFTC oversight in crypto trading. Stay updated on regulatory developments—subscribe for insights today. What is the Kalshi Connecticut Court Order? The Kalshi Connecticut court order represents a significant temporary victory for the prediction market platform Kalshi in its battle against state-level gambling regulations. Issued by U.S. District Court Judge Victor Bolden on Monday, the order instructs Connecticut state officials to halt any enforcement actions related to a recent cease-and-desist letter sent to Kalshi. This pause remains in effect while the court evaluates Kalshi’s motion for a preliminary injunction, with oral arguments set for February 12, 2026. The decision underscores the tension between federal oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and state gambling laws, particularly for platforms offering event contracts that resemble sports betting. How Does Connecticut’s Cease-and-Desist Affect Kalshi’s Operations? Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection, through its Gaming Division, issued cease-and-desist letters last week to Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com, accusing them of providing unlicensed online sports gambling to state residents. The letters demanded an immediate stop to offering sports event contracts and required platforms to allow users to withdraw funds, warning…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews