The post Bitcoin Price Eyes $85K as Gold Rally Reshapes Correlation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin price remains under pressure as gold strength reshapesThe post Bitcoin Price Eyes $85K as Gold Rally Reshapes Correlation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin price remains under pressure as gold strength reshapes

Bitcoin Price Eyes $85K as Gold Rally Reshapes Correlation

2025/12/16 07:36

Bitcoin price remains under pressure as gold strength reshapes cross-asset behavior. The breakout of gold has been accompanied by a decline in the price of Bitcoin, which confirms their inverse correlation. 

Meanwhile, BTC price reacts to defensive capital rotation into traditional safe havens. This change is indicative of constrained liquidity conditions in the world. Notably, the price movement in Bitcoin remains in line with macro-based flows and not single catalysts..

Gold’s Breakout Reinforces Risk-Off Capital Rotation

Bitcoin price is indirectly pressured as gold continues its upward trend. In particular, gold has risen to more than $4,325, which reflects seven-week highs. This breakout validates the revived demand of capital preservation. 

Meanwhile, the inverse relationship between gold and BTC price has re-emerged clearly. Notably, capital rotation into gold often coincides with reduced exposure to speculative assets. This trend is now seen to be consistent once again. 

Additionally, higher real yields support gold inflows while draining excess liquidity. As a result, the price of Bitcoin responds adversely to such redistribution. In addition, gold strength is more of a macro warning than a demand. 

This environment restricts aggressive BTC price recovery attempts. Hence, the break out of gold is an indication of continued defensive positioning. Bitcoin price is susceptible to macro-based mechanisms as long as gold is high.

Bitcoin Price Structure Indicates Downside Risk Pre-Recovery

BTC price structure demonstrates increasing technical weakness. At the time of writing, BTC market value stands at approximately $85,800 after being rejected several times at around the  $90,500 area. Initially, BTC price formed a bearish pennant after a sharp decline. 

This structure is a sign of consolidation under selling pressure. It is worth noting that the pennant breakdown affirmed continuation risk. After that, the price action was unable to regain previous support at around $87,300, which has now become resistance. 

Meanwhile, DMI readings reinforce bearish conditions. In particular, -DI is close to 45, whereas +DI is close to 17. This broad distance demonstrates that sellers have directional control. In the case where -DI prevails at high levels, downside pressure persists rather than stabilizes.  

ADX around 16 indicates that there is no exhaustion in the trend and the selling pressure has space to run. The combination of these readings suggests that there is a long-term bias to the downside, and not a short-term pullback. 

Additionally, successive lower highs confirm structural weakness. Therefore, BTC price continues to gravitate toward the $85,000 level. 

Besides, if the $85,000 level fails to hold, $82,000 emerges as a secondary downside zone for recovery. Consequently, the future BTC price outlook remains constrained until structural stabilization occurs.

BTC/USD 4-Hour Chart (Source: TradingView)

Long vs Short Liquidations Highlight Downside Pressure Zones

Bitcoin price dynamics also reflect liquidation behavior. According to CoinGlass analytics, long liquidations exceeding $134 million across major exchanges. In contrast, short liquidations remained near $21 million. This asymmetry emphasizes forced exits of long positioning. 

Notably, these liquidations occurred near $85,800. The region has become a liquidity concentration area. In the meantime, the lower price range of under $85,000 is not very tested. This design enhances the downside attraction to that level. 

Additionally, expectations surrounding Japan’s rate hike have reduced global dollar liquidity. Historically, such shifts have pressured risk assets, including Bitcoin. Therefore, downside pressure caused by liquidation is consistent with macro tightening, as opposed to positioning resets.

BTC Long vs Short Liquidations Chart (Source: CoinGlass)

To sum up, the Bitcoin price is still vulnerable to the downside pressure as it is nearing the $85,000 mark. Gold’s sustained breakout confirms defensive capital rotation, limiting near-term recovery potential. 

The structure of Bitcoin price indicates ongoing weakness in the areas of major resistance. The liquidation information supports the idea of $85,000 as the main area of downside emphasis. Therefore, recovery remains unlikely until Bitcoin price stabilizes and holds firmly above the $85,000 zone.

Source: https://coingape.com/markets/bitcoin-price-weekly-forecast-as-golds-surge-revives-inverse-correlation-is-85k-next/

Piyasa Fırsatı
CROSS Logosu
CROSS Fiyatı(CROSS)
$0.12896
$0.12896$0.12896
-0.91%
USD
CROSS (CROSS) Canlı Fiyat Grafiği
Sorumluluk Reddi: Bu sitede yeniden yayınlanan makaleler, halka açık platformlardan alınmıştır ve yalnızca bilgilendirme amaçlıdır. MEXC'nin görüşlerini yansıtmayabilir. Tüm hakları telif sahiplerine aittir. Herhangi bir içeriğin üçüncü taraf haklarını ihlal ettiğini düşünüyorsanız, kaldırılması için lütfen service@support.mexc.com ile iletişime geçin. MEXC, içeriğin doğruluğu, eksiksizliği veya güncelliği konusunda hiçbir garanti vermez ve sağlanan bilgilere dayalı olarak alınan herhangi bir eylemden sorumlu değildir. İçerik, finansal, yasal veya diğer profesyonel tavsiye niteliğinde değildir ve MEXC tarafından bir tavsiye veya onay olarak değerlendirilmemelidir.

Ayrıca Şunları da Beğenebilirsiniz

The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For

The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For

The post The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Visions of future technology are often prescient about the broad strokes while flubbing the details. The tablets in “2001: A Space Odyssey” do indeed look like iPads, but you never see the astronauts paying for subscriptions or wasting hours on Candy Crush.  Channel factories are one vision that arose early in the history of the Lightning Network to address some challenges that Lightning has faced from the beginning. Despite having grown to become Bitcoin’s most successful layer-2 scaling solution, with instant and low-fee payments, Lightning’s scale is limited by its reliance on payment channels. Although Lightning shifts most transactions off-chain, each payment channel still requires an on-chain transaction to open and (usually) another to close. As adoption grows, pressure on the blockchain grows with it. The need for a more scalable approach to managing channels is clear. Channel factories were supposed to meet this need, but where are they? In 2025, subnetworks are emerging that revive the impetus of channel factories with some new details that vastly increase their potential. They are natively interoperable with Lightning and achieve greater scale by allowing a group of participants to open a shared multisig UTXO and create multiple bilateral channels, which reduces the number of on-chain transactions and improves capital efficiency. Achieving greater scale by reducing complexity, Ark and Spark perform the same function as traditional channel factories with new designs and additional capabilities based on shared UTXOs.  Channel Factories 101 Channel factories have been around since the inception of Lightning. A factory is a multiparty contract where multiple users (not just two, as in a Dryja-Poon channel) cooperatively lock funds in a single multisig UTXO. They can open, close and update channels off-chain without updating the blockchain for each operation. Only when participants leave or the factory dissolves is an on-chain transaction…
Paylaş
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:09
SOLANA NETWORK Withstands 6 Tbps DDoS Without Downtime

SOLANA NETWORK Withstands 6 Tbps DDoS Without Downtime

The post SOLANA NETWORK Withstands 6 Tbps DDoS Without Downtime appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In a pivotal week for crypto infrastructure, the Solana network
Paylaş
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/12/16 20:44
Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

BitcoinWorld Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% The financial world is buzzing with a significant development: the probability of a Fed rate cut in October has just seen a dramatic increase. This isn’t just a minor shift; it’s a monumental change that could ripple through global markets, including the dynamic cryptocurrency space. For anyone tracking economic indicators and their impact on investments, this update from the U.S. interest rate futures market is absolutely crucial. What Just Happened? Unpacking the FOMC Statement’s Impact Following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, market sentiment has decisively shifted. Before the announcement, the U.S. interest rate futures market had priced in a 71.6% chance of an October rate cut. However, after the statement, this figure surged to an astounding 94%. This jump indicates that traders and analysts are now overwhelmingly confident that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next month. Such a high probability suggests a strong consensus emerging from the Fed’s latest communications and economic outlook. A Fed rate cut typically means cheaper borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which can stimulate economic activity. But what does this really signify for investors, especially those in the digital asset realm? Why is a Fed Rate Cut So Significant for Markets? When the Federal Reserve adjusts interest rates, it sends powerful signals across the entire financial ecosystem. A rate cut generally implies a more accommodative monetary policy, often enacted to boost economic growth or combat deflationary pressures. Impact on Traditional Markets: Stocks: Lower interest rates can make borrowing cheaper for companies, potentially boosting earnings and making stocks more attractive compared to bonds. Bonds: Existing bonds with higher yields might become more valuable, but new bonds will likely offer lower returns. Dollar Strength: A rate cut can weaken the U.S. dollar, making exports cheaper and potentially benefiting multinational corporations. Potential for Cryptocurrency Markets: The cryptocurrency market, while often seen as uncorrelated, can still react significantly to macro-economic shifts. A Fed rate cut could be interpreted as: Increased Risk Appetite: With traditional investments offering lower returns, investors might seek higher-yielding or more volatile assets like cryptocurrencies. Inflation Hedge Narrative: If rate cuts are perceived as a precursor to inflation, assets like Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” could gain traction as an inflation hedge. Liquidity Influx: A more accommodative monetary environment generally means more liquidity in the financial system, some of which could flow into digital assets. Looking Ahead: What Could This Mean for Your Portfolio? While the 94% probability for a Fed rate cut in October is compelling, it’s essential to consider the nuances. Market probabilities can shift, and the Fed’s ultimate decision will depend on incoming economic data. Actionable Insights: Stay Informed: Continue to monitor economic reports, inflation data, and future Fed statements. Diversify: A diversified portfolio can help mitigate risks associated with sudden market shifts. Assess Risk Tolerance: Understand how a potential rate cut might affect your specific investments and adjust your strategy accordingly. This increased likelihood of a Fed rate cut presents both opportunities and challenges. It underscores the interconnectedness of traditional finance and the emerging digital asset space. Investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility. The financial landscape is always evolving, and the significant surge in the probability of an October Fed rate cut is a clear signal of impending change. From stimulating economic growth to potentially fueling interest in digital assets, the implications are vast. Staying informed and strategically positioned will be key as we approach this crucial decision point. The market is now almost certain of a rate cut, and understanding its potential ripple effects is paramount for every investor. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)? A1: The FOMC is the monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve System. It sets the federal funds rate, which influences other interest rates and economic conditions. Q2: How does a Fed rate cut impact the U.S. dollar? A2: A rate cut typically makes the U.S. dollar less attractive to foreign investors seeking higher returns, potentially leading to a weakening of the dollar against other currencies. Q3: Why might a Fed rate cut be good for cryptocurrency? A3: Lower interest rates can reduce the appeal of traditional investments, encouraging investors to seek higher returns in alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. It can also be seen as a sign of increased liquidity or potential inflation, benefiting assets like Bitcoin. Q4: Is a 94% probability a guarantee of a rate cut? A4: While a 94% probability is very high, it is not a guarantee. Market probabilities reflect current sentiment and data, but the Federal Reserve’s final decision will depend on all available economic information leading up to their meeting. Q5: What should investors do in response to this news? A5: Investors should stay informed about economic developments, review their portfolio diversification, and assess their risk tolerance. Consider how potential changes in interest rates might affect different asset classes and adjust strategies as needed. Did you find this analysis helpful? Share this article with your network to keep others informed about the potential impact of the upcoming Fed rate cut and its implications for the financial markets! To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action. This post Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Paylaş
Coinstats2025/09/18 02:25