The post Dow Jones backslides after disappointing NFP print sparks recession fears appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Dow Jones backslid on Friday, falling back below 45,500. NFP job gains came in well below expectations, adding further bets to Fed rate cuts. A steepening decline in job creation has gone too far, overshooting market hopes for rate cuts and reigniting recessionary concerns. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) sank on Friday, falling nearly 500 points at its lowest after United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data showed the US added far fewer jobs than expected, pinning expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut on September 17. The latest NFP jobs report showed the US added just 22K net new jobs in August, coming in even lower than the median market forecast of 75K. The previous month’s figure was revised upward slightly to 79K, but August’s sharp drop has pushed bets of a Fed rate cut into the ceiling. Market talk of a jumbo double-cut is back on the table, with rate markets pricing in 10% odds of a 50 basis point interest rate trim on the Fed’s next rate call this month. Equities fumble expectations for low but not too-low NFP figures Despite equity traders getting their wish for an underperforming NFP print, the latest round of jobs data has turned into a monkey’s paw scenario. While low hiring figures will help push the Fed into an interest rate cut in a couple of weeks, too low of an NFP figure has reignited recession fears across the broader market. Despite hitting a new all-time high on intraday bids, the Dow Jones has recoiled sharply from record territory, paring away Thursday’s hopeful gains and sending the major equity index back into the red for the week. Next week poses a fresh set of challenges for data watchers. The latest round of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation… The post Dow Jones backslides after disappointing NFP print sparks recession fears appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Dow Jones backslid on Friday, falling back below 45,500. NFP job gains came in well below expectations, adding further bets to Fed rate cuts. A steepening decline in job creation has gone too far, overshooting market hopes for rate cuts and reigniting recessionary concerns. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) sank on Friday, falling nearly 500 points at its lowest after United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data showed the US added far fewer jobs than expected, pinning expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut on September 17. The latest NFP jobs report showed the US added just 22K net new jobs in August, coming in even lower than the median market forecast of 75K. The previous month’s figure was revised upward slightly to 79K, but August’s sharp drop has pushed bets of a Fed rate cut into the ceiling. Market talk of a jumbo double-cut is back on the table, with rate markets pricing in 10% odds of a 50 basis point interest rate trim on the Fed’s next rate call this month. Equities fumble expectations for low but not too-low NFP figures Despite equity traders getting their wish for an underperforming NFP print, the latest round of jobs data has turned into a monkey’s paw scenario. While low hiring figures will help push the Fed into an interest rate cut in a couple of weeks, too low of an NFP figure has reignited recession fears across the broader market. Despite hitting a new all-time high on intraday bids, the Dow Jones has recoiled sharply from record territory, paring away Thursday’s hopeful gains and sending the major equity index back into the red for the week. Next week poses a fresh set of challenges for data watchers. The latest round of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation…

Dow Jones backslides after disappointing NFP print sparks recession fears

2025/09/07 01:55
  • The Dow Jones backslid on Friday, falling back below 45,500.
  • NFP job gains came in well below expectations, adding further bets to Fed rate cuts.
  • A steepening decline in job creation has gone too far, overshooting market hopes for rate cuts and reigniting recessionary concerns.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) sank on Friday, falling nearly 500 points at its lowest after United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data showed the US added far fewer jobs than expected, pinning expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut on September 17.

The latest NFP jobs report showed the US added just 22K net new jobs in August, coming in even lower than the median market forecast of 75K. The previous month’s figure was revised upward slightly to 79K, but August’s sharp drop has pushed bets of a Fed rate cut into the ceiling. Market talk of a jumbo double-cut is back on the table, with rate markets pricing in 10% odds of a 50 basis point interest rate trim on the Fed’s next rate call this month.

Equities fumble expectations for low but not too-low NFP figures

Despite equity traders getting their wish for an underperforming NFP print, the latest round of jobs data has turned into a monkey’s paw scenario. While low hiring figures will help push the Fed into an interest rate cut in a couple of weeks, too low of an NFP figure has reignited recession fears across the broader market. Despite hitting a new all-time high on intraday bids, the Dow Jones has recoiled sharply from record territory, paring away Thursday’s hopeful gains and sending the major equity index back into the red for the week.

Next week poses a fresh set of challenges for data watchers. The latest round of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation and University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations are due next Thursday and Friday, respectively. Headline CPI inflation is again expected to tick higher for the year ended in August, while market forecasts expect the UoM Consumer Sentiment Index to recover ground.

Dow Jones daily chart

Dow Jones FAQs

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, one of the oldest stock market indices in the world, is compiled of the 30 most traded stocks in the US. The index is price-weighted rather than weighted by capitalization. It is calculated by summing the prices of the constituent stocks and dividing them by a factor, currently 0.152. The index was founded by Charles Dow, who also founded the Wall Street Journal. In later years it has been criticized for not being broadly representative enough because it only tracks 30 conglomerates, unlike broader indices such as the S&P 500.

Many different factors drive the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The aggregate performance of the component companies revealed in quarterly company earnings reports is the main one. US and global macroeconomic data also contributes as it impacts on investor sentiment. The level of interest rates, set by the Federal Reserve (Fed), also influences the DJIA as it affects the cost of credit, on which many corporations are heavily reliant. Therefore, inflation can be a major driver as well as other metrics which impact the Fed decisions.

Dow Theory is a method for identifying the primary trend of the stock market developed by Charles Dow. A key step is to compare the direction of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) and only follow trends where both are moving in the same direction. Volume is a confirmatory criteria. The theory uses elements of peak and trough analysis. Dow’s theory posits three trend phases: accumulation, when smart money starts buying or selling; public participation, when the wider public joins in; and distribution, when the smart money exits.

There are a number of ways to trade the DJIA. One is to use ETFs which allow investors to trade the DJIA as a single security, rather than having to buy shares in all 30 constituent companies. A leading example is the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA). DJIA futures contracts enable traders to speculate on the future value of the index and Options provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the index at a predetermined price in the future. Mutual funds enable investors to buy a share of a diversified portfolio of DJIA stocks thus providing exposure to the overall index.

Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/dow-jones-industrial-average-tumbles-250-points-as-nfp-figures-dip-faster-than-expected-202509051737

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‘Code Is Law’ documentary nails the drama of DeFi hacks — despite what it leaves out

‘Code Is Law’ documentary nails the drama of DeFi hacks — despite what it leaves out

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(The Louvre heist is hefty, of course, but it still wouldn’t make it to the top 25 in crypto.)That dissonance is the starting point of Code Is Law, a new documentary about DeFi exploits:“It’s incredible, you turn on the news and see a $450 theft from a local 7-Eleven, and on the same day someone steals $25 million from a protocol and you’ll never hear about it,” pseudonymous blockchain security specialist Ogle says during the opening credits.Streaming on Amazon Prime Video, Code Is Law is probably the first serious documentary to take the woes of decentralised finance — not centralised crypto exchanges or charismatic crypto fraudsters — as its subject.“It’s done an incredible job of representing people involved as humans rather than fringe lunatics, and I’m proud I was involved in it,” Indexed Finance co-founder Laurence Day told DL News, “even if I now know more about how the sausage is made when it comes to films than I ever cared to!”Given it’s a documentary about a community that’s pretty much exclusively online, you might expect it to be un-cinematic, a story more suited to the podcast format. 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In a careless moment of vanity, he edited — under a user name associated with him — a Wikipedia page for a Canadian TV show he’d once appeared on and added himself to the list of show’s notable alumni as a “notable mathematician.” That tiny edit was enough to connect the dots between his real identity and the heist. But that wasn’t enough to bring him to justice, as Medjedovic still remains at large. In March 2024, Medjedovic told DL News he was self-exiled on an island somewhere and claimed to have turned a white-hat hacker — someone who hacks lawfully.Medjedovic declined to speak in the documentary, Craig told DL News.Didn’t Avi Eisenberg prove ‘code is law’?Another hacker that gets plenty of screen time is Avi Eisenberg, the Mango Markets exploiter.In October 2022, Eisenberg manipulated Mango Markets, the Solana-based decentralised exchange, by artificially inflating the price of his own collateral token, then borrowing against it to drain roughly $110 million in assets. 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2025/10/29 07:11