XRP Price Prediction: XRP Holds $1.85 as Falling Wedge Hints at Gradual Recovery Toward $2.23–$3.00

Recent price behavior suggests XRP is emerging from a corrective phase rather than accelerating into a fresh uptrend. The $1.85 zone has repeatedly attracted spot demand, indicating that buyers are willing to defend this level even amid broader market uncertainty. As the XRP current price stabilizes around $2.00, the focus has shifted to whether these signals can evolve into a confirmed breakout rather than another failed technical setup.

Falling Wedge Pattern Signals Potential Reversal

According to technical analyst Ali Martinez (Ali Charts), XRP’s 4-hour chart is forming a falling wedge—typically viewed as a bullish reversal structure when accompanied by sustained support and improving momentum.

XRP could be forming a falling wedge, setting the stage for a bullish breakout to $2.23. Source: Ali Martinez via X

“$XRP could be forming a falling wedge, setting the stage for a bullish breakout to $2.23,” Martinez noted, highlighting XRP’s ability to hold above the $1.85 support level.

While falling wedges historically resolve to the upside in approximately 68%–74% of cases, based on studies by veteran chart analyst Thomas Bulkowski, these outcomes are most reliable in neutral or risk-on market conditions. In low-liquidity or macro-driven selloffs, similar structures have frequently failed. In XRP’s case, the current wedge stands out because it has formed after a measured pullback rather than a sharp capitulation, suggesting more orderly price discovery.

However, downside risks remain. A decisive break below $1.85 would undermine the pattern and reopen the possibility of a deeper retracement, with some traders identifying sub-$1.20 levels as longer-term downside risk if broader market sentiment deteriorates.

Buyers Show Signs of Regaining Control

Short-term market structure points to fading selling pressure. XRP has reacted multiple times from the lower boundary of its corrective channel, producing higher intraday lows—an early indication that buyers are gradually reasserting control rather than chasing price aggressively.

XRP is rebounding from a bullish wedge pattern, signaling fading selling pressure and potential upside toward $2.35–$3.00 if support holds. Source: KlejdiCun on TradingView

As long as the XRP current price remains above recent swing support, the technical bias favors continuation rather than reversal. Frequently cited resistance levels include $2.35, $2.65, and $3.00, which align with prior consolidation zones and measured-move extensions. These levels represent areas of likely supply rather than guaranteed upside targets.

Momentum indicators reinforce this cautious optimism. XRP recently formed a bullish engulfing candle, reclaiming a daily pivot that is now acting as near-term support. At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has negated prior bearish divergence, signaling stabilization rather than overextension. That said, analysts emphasize that these indicators tend to fail during sudden volatility spikes.

A sustained move below $1.80 would invalidate the improving structure and confirm that sellers remain in control.

Historical Fractals Draw Comparisons to Past Cycles

On higher timeframes, some analysts are comparing XRP’s current consolidation to prior market cycles. Market commentators at CryptosRus, known for long-cycle crypto market analysis, highlighted similarities between today’s structure and XRP’s prolonged sideways movement ahead of its 2017 rally.

XRP mirrors its 2017 breakout, holding 0.618 Fibonacci support and eyeing upside targets near $2.01. Source: CryptosRus via X

Monthly charts shared by EGRAG Crypto, a technician focused on Fibonacci-based trend analysis, show XRP testing the 0.618 retracement level within a broader rectangular range. Based on historical extensions, long-term projections between $8 and $14 have been modeled. However, these scenarios are explicitly conditional and low-probability, dependent on sustained macro support and broad crypto market expansion.

Importantly, similar long-range projections in 2019 and 2021 failed to materialize, underscoring that fractal-based targets are speculative rather than predictive.

Liquidity Injection Adds Macro Support

Macro conditions are also influencing XRP news today. Crypto market analyst Xaif Crypto, who focuses on liquidity flows and monetary policy impacts, pointed to a scheduled $8.3 billion liquidity injection by the New York Federal Reserve through short-term Treasury bill purchases..

The Federal Reserve plans an $8.3 B liquidity injection tomorrow, a move that could quickly influence risk assets, including XRP. Source: Xaif Crypto via X

Historical data from CoinMetrics suggests that similar liquidity events have coincided with 5%–15% short-term rallies across major crypto assets. However, such reactions are often temporary unless supported by sustained risk appetite in equity and credit markets. As a result, liquidity alone may provide a tailwind rather than a decisive catalyst.

Regulatory Context Remains a Key Variable

Despite improving technical conditions, regulatory developments remain a defining variable for Ripple XRP price action. The ongoing Ripple vs. SEC appeals process continues to shape market sentiment, even after prior rulings clarified aspects of XRP’s secondary-market status.

Market participants generally view regulatory clarity as supportive of XRP’s cross-border payment utility. Still, renewed legal uncertainty or delays could dampen speculative interest, particularly during periods of broader market stress.

Final Thoughts

From a short- to medium-term perspective, XRP is showing early signs of stabilization rather than acceleration. The defense of $1.85, combined with a developing falling wedge and improving momentum signals, places XRP price prediction levels between $2.23 and $3.00 into focus as potential resistance zones.

XRP was trading at around $1.96, down 0.21% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP price via Brave New Coin

Longer-term projections, including historical fractal targets, remain highly speculative and should be viewed as contextual rather than actionable. Confirmation through sustained volume, clean resistance breaks, and supportive macro conditions remains essential.

For now, XRP sits at a technical crossroads, where improving structure must still prove itself before a durable trend can be established.