Daily Market Update: What the US-Iran 60-Day Peace Roadmap Means for Bitcoin and Stock Markets

TLDR

• Bitcoin traded around $63,996, down 0.4% in 24 hours and 2.2% on the week
• US and Iran agreed a 60-day roadmap toward a peace deal, sending Brent crude down to ~$79
• Asian stocks rose 0.6% while US futures slipped, with S&P 500 contracts down 0.5%
• Dogecoin was the worst performer, off 6.5% on the week; XRP fell 4.3%
• Thursday’s PCE inflation report will be a key test for markets and rate expectations

Bitcoin started Monday near $64,000 but failed to join a broader rally in Asian stocks, even as the geopolitical backdrop improved slightly.

The token was trading at around $63,996, down 0.4% over 24 hours and 2.2% over the past week, according to CoinDesk data.

Crypto Markets Stay Soft

The rest of the crypto market was mixed. Solana gained 3.7% on the week to reach $74, and Tron added 2.2%. Ether held roughly flat at $1,733.

Losses were sharper further down the board. BNB dropped 4.2% on the week, XRP fell 4.3% to $1.13, and Dogecoin was the weakest major token, down 6.5%.

Hyperliquid’s HYPE, which had been a standout performer in early June, fell 5% on the day. It still holds a 1.9% weekly gain.

Crypto broadly sat out a risk-on move that lifted equities in Asia. That gap between crypto and stocks is something traders will be watching in the days ahead.

US-Iran Talks and Oil Markets

The US and Iran agreed on a roadmap to reach a final peace deal within 60 days. Mediators Qatar and Pakistan confirmed progress in a joint statement, including steps to keep commercial ships moving safely through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude slid 1.7% to around $79 a barrel on the news. However, West Texas Intermediate crude jumped nearly 3% to near $78 a barrel separately, as traders also weighed fresh comments from President Donald Trump threatening further military action if Iran-linked groups in Lebanon did not stand down.

The talks had a rocky start on Sunday when Iran briefly paused them following Trump’s comments, before both sides agreed to a channel to manage escalation.

An MSCI gauge of Asian stocks rose 0.6%, helped by ongoing optimism around artificial intelligence boosting the technology sector.

US futures moved in the opposite direction. S&P 500 contracts fell 0.5%, Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.6%, and Dow futures declined 0.3%.

Inflation Data Ahead

Markets are now focused on Thursday’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation.

Economists expect core PCE, which strips out food and energy, to show a modest increase from April levels. The report comes shortly after the Fed signaled a more cautious stance, with traders pushing back their expectations for any rate cuts.

This week’s data could reshape how investors think about interest rates for the rest of the summer.

Bitcoin has closely tracked risk assets through each development in the Iran story. Whether the 60-day peace roadmap holds, and whether crypto reconnects with broader market sentiment, will be the key questions heading into the rest of the week.

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