Bitcoin forecast of $145,000 for 2026 raises doubt

A social media post that resurfaced recently has attracted widespread attention by reviving an anonymous prediction, allegedly made between 2019 and 2024, that seemed to anticipate various Bitcoin price milestones. The visual included in the post points to a final target of $145,000 for Bitcoin in October 2026. Nonetheless, there are serious questions about the authenticity and origin of the data and image circulated in the post.

Verification of the source remains elusive

An account named Corleone shared a screenshot, said to be from an anonymous post on December 20, 2018, in a 4chan-like format. The image claims that a particular group holds around 90% of the total Bitcoin supply and lists a series of future price targets from October 2019 to October 2026.

At first glance, the predictions appear to be remarkably accurate. Bitcoin reached approximately $67,000 in November 2021 and dipped close to $16,000 in November 2022 during the bear market period. This apparent forecasting accuracy quickly generated interest among social media users.

The main concern is the absence of any verifiable archive link, user signature, or identifying information that could link the predictions to a specific individual. With 4chan being predominantly anonymous by nature, it is impossible to prove that the same person made these forecasts before the price events occurred unless an archived version is provided.

Discrepancies between older and newer versions emerge

A Binance Square post dated July 2024 showed the same phrase about holding “around 90% of the total supply” and similar price targets. Yet, in this earlier version, Bitcoin’s September 2024 price target was $105,400.

In contrast, the new viral image lists $74,000 for September 2024 and adds a fresh target of $145,000 for October 2026. The change suggests the image or list of predictions may have been retroactively altered to fit actual movements in Bitcoin’s price over time.

Market cap figures fail to add up

The image also asserts that a $145,000 Bitcoin would give rise to a $5.7 trillion market cap, with Bitcoin dominance ranging between 40% and 47%. However, with around 20 million Bitcoin in circulation, the market capitalization at $145,000 per coin would be about $2.9 trillion. Even using the maximum supply of 21 million coins, the figure only reaches about $3.05 trillion.

This means that if the $5.7 trillion figure refers to Bitcoin’s market cap, it is mathematically inconsistent. If it was meant for the entire cryptocurrency market, the statement remains unclear—casting further doubt on the accuracy of the post.

The claim of holding 90% of supply conflicts with data

Another striking assertion in the post is that a specific group holds nearly 90% of the total Bitcoin supply. The current circulating supply is about 20.04 million coins, out of a maximum possible 21 million, which would mean control over about 18 million Bitcoin.

According to Bitinfocharts, the 100 largest Bitcoin addresses hold about 15.27% of total supply, while the top 10,000 addresses hold roughly 53.89%. Bitinfocharts is a data platform that tracks blockchain distributions and wealth rankings.

These figures show that the 90% claim made in the viral image is not supported by current on-chain data. Therefore, the notion that an anonymous 4chan user accurately forecasted Bitcoin’s major price moves through 2026 remains unsubstantiated for now.

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