The UNI price is testing a critical level as on-chain activity and protocol developments strengthen the recovery. Here's what traders are watching next.The UNI price is testing a critical level as on-chain activity and protocol developments strengthen the recovery. Here's what traders are watching next.

UNI Price Prediction: Can Uniswap Climb Back Above $4 as On-Chain Activity Surges?

2026/06/17 20:23
5 min read
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Key highlights:

  • The UNI price is holding above a major long-term support zone, keeping the path toward $4 and $5.03 in focus.
  • Active addresses jumped to over 2,300 and daily transfers climbed to nearly 24,000, reinforcing the recovery.
  • Arc integration, protocol fee burns, and rising trading volume continue supporting Uniswap’s broader outlook.

Uniswap is starting to look much stronger after spending months under heavy selling pressure. Buyers have stepped in around one of the token’s biggest long-term support zones, helping the UNI price recover from its lows and bringing the $4 level back into focus.

 

Crypto analyst The Boss believes this area could be the foundation for a larger recovery. The analyst noted that UNI has reacted positively every time it has tested this demand zone, keeping the possibility of a move toward higher resistance levels alive as long as support continues to hold.

UNI price is fighting to hold a key support zone

We had a look at the UNI chart, and the broader picture shows a market that has been in decline since the 2025 highs around $11-$12. Over that period, the UNI price lost more than 70% before finding buyers near the $3.49-$4.00 area.

That zone has now become one of the most important levels on the weekly chart. Buyers defended it again, helping UNI post a weekly gain of roughly 6% and keeping hopes of a recovery intact.

If that support continues to hold, the next target comes around $5.03, a level that once acted as support before turning into resistance. A move above it could open the path toward $7.24 and eventually $8.93. If the support fails, however, traders could be looking at another move toward the $2.50-$3.00 region before buyers attempt another recovery.

Uniswap short-term charts are looking much better

The shorter timeframes are giving bulls more reasons to stay optimistic. We had a look at the UNI 4-hour chart, and the move off the June lows has been impressive. Price climbed from roughly $2.50-$2.70 to around $3.72, producing a rally of more than 40% in a relatively short period.

4-hour UNI chart analysis

4-hour UNI chart analysis

During that move, the UNI price broke above the 100-period SMA at $2.667 and continued trading above it, showing that short-term control has moved back to buyers. Volume also increased throughout the rally, which adds credibility to the move. Momentum is running hot, though. The 4-hour RSI has made its way up to 88.15, which normally indicates a pause or consolidation phase before the next move.

Daily UNI chart analysis

Daily UNI chart analysis

In the daily chart, we have something very similar. The UNI price is currently trading at around $3.64, having made gains of approximately 10.64% on the day, and now trading above the daily SMA 100 ($3.306), where it has not been trading since quite a few weeks. The resistance lies in the $4.00-$5.00 region.

UNI on-chain activity picks up as network usage climbs

The price isn't the only metric moving higher. Network activity has picked up in a big way, adding support to the latest rally. Daily active addresses spent much of the previous period between 700 and 1,200 wallets before jumping to roughly 2,300-2,350 addresses. That increase came at the same time the UNI price moved from around $2.70 to above $3.30.

UNI active addresses chart

Transfer activity has been even more impressive. Daily transfers climbed from roughly 2,000-5,000 transactions to nearly 23,000-24,000 transactions, representing one of the biggest increases seen over the measured period.

UNI transaction count chart

For Uniswap, these metrics matter because they point to real protocol usage. More active addresses and transfers often mean more swaps, liquidity activity, governance participation, and users interacting with the platform.

Partnerships and token burns are supporting UNI

Fundamental developments are also helping the UNI price. Uniswap recently integrated with Arc, a financial infrastructure platform that connects Uniswap's swap technology through an API focused on stablecoin transactions. The announcement helped daily trading volume climb to roughly $768 million during a 23.4% rally on June 17, 2026.

Higher trading activity also feeds directly into Uniswap's updated tokenomics. In December 2025, the proposal for UNIfication governance was approved and this made it possible to engage the protocol fee toggle so that the fees earned from the protocol could be used to purchase UNI tokens and burn them. In addition, there was a one-off burning of 100 million UNI tokens from the Uniswap treasury.

That creates a direct link between protocol activity and token supply. If trading volume remains elevated, more revenue becomes available for buybacks and burns, gradually reducing circulating supply over time.

Institutional interest is also adding support to the broader outlook. Standard Chartered has published a $100 UNI price target for 2030, based on expectations that Uniswap could become a major trading venue for tokenized real-world assets.

That outlook depends heavily on continued growth in decentralized finance and tokenized asset markets, making protocol usage one of the most important indicators to watch.

What could be next for the UNI price?

The UNI price has reached a level that could decide the next major move. Holding above the $3.30-$3.50 support area keeps the recovery intact and puts the $4.00 and $5.03 resistance levels directly in focus. A successful break above those barriers would bring the weekly targets near $7.24 and $8.93 back into play.

The combination of active addresses climbing from around 1,000 to more than 2,300, daily transfers expanding toward 24,000, stronger trading volume, the Arc integration, and the protocol's fee-burn mechanism gives buyers several reasons to stay optimistic.

The only short-term concern is the overbought 4-hour RSI, which could lead to a pause before the next leg higher. Even so, as long as the UNI price continues holding above its reclaimed support levels, the recovery remains firmly in place.

According to CoinCodex’s 1-month UNI price prediction, the UNI price could move toward $3.06, pointing to limited downside as the token consolidates around key support levels over the coming weeks.

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