XRP Price Prediction: 8-Month Sentiment Low Sparks Relief Rally Hopes

Key Insights:

• XRP sentiment fell to its lowest level since October 2025 as traders turned more bearish.
• Analysts say XRP price deep fear levels have often appeared before relief rallies.
• Whale activity remains weak, with large XRP transactions dropping sharply this week.

XRP price prediction has returned to focus after market sentiment fell to its weakest level in eight months. Data from Santiment shows XRP weighted sentiment dropped to its lowest reading since October 2025 as traders became increasingly bearish following the recent decline.

The development has attracted attention because similar sentiment extremes have historically appeared near important market turning points. However, analysts caution that sentiment alone cannot confirm a recovery.

XRP Price Prediction: Sentiment Hits Lowest Level Since October 2025

Santiment data shows that XRP weighted sentiment has weakened as positive market commentary continues to fade. The metric measures both social activity and the balance between bullish and bearish comments. When the reading falls, it often shows that traders have become more cautious or less active around the asset.

The latest decline suggests that XRP has lost some attention across social platforms. XRP price weakness has played a role in that shift, as the token remains under pressure near lower trading levels. However, analysts are also watching whether this low sentiment zone could mark a point where selling pressure begins to ease.

Santiment said similar periods of heavy fear have often appeared near rebound zones. The platform noted that some strong XRP recoveries came when traders lost interest. However, sentiment alone does not confirm a lasting price recovery.

The current setup places XRP in a cautious position. A relief rally may form if buyers defend lower levels. Yet weak demand could keep pressure on the token if volume stays low.

XRP Price Tests Key Area After 18% Drop

XRP price recently fell from about $1.33 to nearly $1.05. That move marked an 18% decline within a short period. The token later recovered toward $1.14, gaining about 3% over 24 hours.

Despite that bounce, XRP price remains below its monthly highs. The asset has also lost about 21% over the past month. Year-to-date losses remain near 38%, showing that sellers still control the broader trend.

ChartNerd said XRP price has returned to the lower regression band of the Gaussian Channel on the two-week chart. The analyst placed that lower band near $1.04. Similar returns to the band appeared during earlier market cycles.

This level now acts as a key area for traders. A clean rebound from this zone could support relief rally hopes. A failure to hold it may expose XRP to deeper support levels.

Analysts Watch XRP Price Power of Three Pattern

CoinvoTrading said XRP may have formed a “Power of Three” pattern on the daily chart. The structure includes accumulation, manipulation, and expansion phases. Technical traders often use it to track major price swings.

The analyst placed XRP’s long sideways range in the accumulation phase. The recent break below that range formed the manipulation phase, according to the chart. This phase often shakes out weak holders before a new trend starts.

CoinvoTrading projected a possible expansion phase if XRP price reclaimed lost ground. The chart targets the $2.60 to $2.80 area if buyers regain control. That move would represent a sharp recovery from current prices.

The forecast still depends on price confirmation. XRP price must break back above key resistance levels before the bullish setup gains strength. Until then, the pattern remains an active technical watch.

TD Buy Signal Appears as Whale Activity Weakens

Analyst Ali Martinez reported a TD Sequential buy signal on XRP’s three-day chart. The signal appeared after the token fell from $1.33 to $1.05. Similar signals on higher timeframes have often preceded short-term rebounds.

The buy signal supports the case for a relief move. Traders often watch this setup when selling pressure slows. Still, the signal does not guarantee a trend change.

On-chain data shows whale activity has weakened. Transactions above $1 million fell from 157 to 67 over nine days. That marks a 57% drop in large transactions.

Whale wallets also sold or redistributed about 60 million XRP during the past week. This activity shows that large holders have not returned to strong accumulation. Martinez noted that XRP may need fresh whale buying for a stronger recovery.

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