Prediction market platforms are moving beyond simple event-based wagering into mainstream derivatives trading.
Polymarket and Kalshi are preparing to launch perpetual futures trading, marking a significant expansion of their offerings and positioning them in direct competition with crypto exchanges and retail trading platforms.
Perpetual futures – leveraged derivative contracts with no expiry date – will allow users to take long or short positions on a range of assets including cryptocurrencies, stocks and commodities, according to multiple reports.
The move represents a shift for both firms which have historically focused on ‘event contracts’ that let users bet on outcomes such as elections, economic data, or weather events.
Polymarket has already opened early access sign-ups for the product while Kalshi is expected to follow with a U.S.-focused rollout, potentially leveraging its regulatory status to offer the contracts domestically.
Analysts say the expansion brings the two platforms into more direct competition with established crypto derivatives venues as well as brokerages that are increasingly integrating multiple asset classes into a single trading interface.
Combined monthly trading volumes for Polymarket and Kalshi have already exceeded $20 billion suggesting a large existing user base that could be funneled into higher-risk leveraged products.
However, the push into perpetual futures comes amid growing regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets, including concerns around market manipulation and insider trading, which could complicate rollout timelines and broader adoption.
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